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So Oscar morning dawned and brought with it a few surprises, but mostly lived up to expectations. Comparing my predictions to the actual nominations, I did fairly well:
Best Picture: 8/10
Best Actor: 5/5
Best Actress: 4/5
Best Supporting Actor: 5/5
Best Supporting Actress: 4/5
Best Director: 4/5
In retrospect, 86 percent isn't bad. And mostly I'm pretty happy with the actual nominations. So here we go:
Best PictureAvatarThe Blind SideDistrict 9An Education
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Precious
A Serious Man
Up
Up in the AirAnalysis: Nine out of ten of these I'm happy with.
The Blind Side was certainly heartwarming, but I don't think it deserved to beat out films like
A Single Man or even
(500) Days of Summer. There goes the Academy for you...
Best ActorJeff Bridges,
Crazy HeartGeorge Clooney,
Up in the AirColin Firth,
A Single ManMorgan Freeman,
InvictusJeremy Renner,
The Hurt LockerAnalysis: Exactly as I figured. While some were hoping to see Viggo Mortensen sneak in for
The Road or Ben Foster for
The Messenger, the nominees matched the SAG Award nominees perfectly. Can't imagine Jeff Bridges won't win, both because he deserves it and it's his fifth nomination in the last 39 years.
Best ActressSandra Bullock,
The Blind SideHelen Mirren,
The Last StationCarey Mulligan,
An EducationGabourey Sidibe,
PreciousMeryl Streep,
Julie and JuliaAnalysis: Well, I had hoped that Emily Blunt would make it instead of Helen Mirren. But what can you do? Some prognosticators say the Oscar is now Sandra Bullock's to lose, given the Best Picture nod for
The Blind Side. I'd love to see Meryl take this one home. This is her 16th nomination, but she hasn't won since 1982!!
Best Supporting ActorMatt Damon,
InvictusWoody Harrelson,
The MessengerChristopher Plummer,
The Last StationStanley Tucci,
The Lovely BonesChristoph Walz,
Inglourious BasterdsAnalysis: These guys should like each other already, as they were all nominated for the Golden Globes and the SAG Awards. It's great to see Christopher Plummer (who was touted as a nominee in 2005 for
Good Night and Good Luck) and Stanley Tucci finally get nominations, although I was hoping Alfred Molina would sneak in for
An Education.
Best Supporting ActressPenelope Cruz,
NineVera Farmiga,
Up in the AirMaggie Gyllenhaal,
Crazy HeartAnna Kendrick,
Up in the AirMo'Nique,
PreciousAnalysis: I'm a big Maggie Gyllenhaal fan, so I'm thrilled to see her get nominated, even though I was hoping Julianne Moore and/or one of the
Inglourious Basterds women (Diane Krueger or Melanie Laurent) would get a nod.
Best DirectorKathryn Bigelow,
The Hurt LockerJames Cameron,
AvatarLee Daniels,
PreciousJason Reitman,
Up in the AirQuentin Tarantino,
Inglourious BasterdsAnalysis: Well, I thought Lee Daniels might get bumped by Clint Eastwood but I'm thrilled he didn't. Kathryn Bigelow is now only the fourth woman to be nominated for Best Director (behind Lina Wertmuller for
Seven Beauties in 1976, Jane Campion for
The Piano in 1993 and Sofia Coppola in 2003 for
Lost in Translation). And amazingly, Lee Daniels is only the second Black man to be nominated, behind John Singleton for
Boyz in the Hood in 1991.
The other nominees, after the jump.